Wheat closes week extending rally (2024)

Recap for April 26

  • Dry weather concerns sent wheat futures higher Friday, some contracts posting the largest weekly gains since Russia first attacked Ukraine in February 2022. South American competition continued to weigh on US soybean futures Friday although losses were tempered by potential weather delays to US planting. Corn futures declined on profit taking Friday but managed a weekly gain amid weather concerns for planting the US crop. May corn fell 1¢ to close at $4.40 per bu. Chicago May wheat added 1¢ to close at $6.03¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat added 14¼¢ and closed at $6.46¼ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat was up 6¼¢ and closed at $6.97¼ per bu. May soybeans fell 3¼¢ to close at $11.59½ per bu; later months were mixed. May soybean meal was down $3.90 to close at $340 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.11¢ to close at 44.93¢ a lb.
  • US equity markets closed higher Friday in a broad market rally kicked off by rebounding shares of the so-called “Magnificent Seven”: Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 153.86 points, or 0.4%, to close at 38,239.66. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 51.54 points, or 1.02%, to close at 5,099.96. The Nasdaq Composite soared 316.14 points, or 2.03%, higher to close at 15,927.9.
  • The US dollar index strengthened Friday.
  • US goldfutures advanced Friday despite data showing US inflation rose in line with expectations but posted a weekly decline as geopolitical risk premiums eased. The expiring April contract added $5 to close at $2,334.80 per oz. The June contract added $4.70 to close at $2,347.20 per oz.
  • US crude oiladvanced Friday on Middle East tension. The June West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 28¢, or 0.55%, to close at $83.85 per barrel.

Recap for April 25

  • The rally in wheat futures continued Thursday with the support from dry conditions in the US Plains and in Russia; prices were up 30¢ to nearly 60¢ a bu for the week to date. Soybean futures were mixed, the nearby months dipping on strong export competition from Brazil and deferred months advancing on forecasts for showers that could last through the weekend and delayed planting in the US Midwest. Those same forecasts helped corn futures prices advance. May corn rose 3¼¢ to close at $4.41 per bu. Chicago May wheat added 7¾¢ to close at $6.02¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat added 7¾¢ and closed at $6.32 per bu. Minneapolis May wheat was up 12¢ and closed at $6.91 per bu. May soybeans fell 3¼¢ to close at $11.62¾ per bu; the August contract and beyond advanced. May soybean meal was down $2.10 to close at $343.90 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.16¢ to close at 44.82¢ a lb.
  • The US dollar index weakened Thursday after a Commerce Department report indicated US gross domestic product grew at a 1.6% annualized rate in the first quarter, slower than the 2.4% rate expected by economists. Further pressure stemmed from the report’s indication that underlying inflation as measured by the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 3.7% in the first quarter, topping pre-report expectations for a 3.4% rise.
  • The above-mentioned Commerce Department report drove stocks lower Thursday. Caterpillar and Meta Platforms were two of the day’s biggest losers. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 375.12 points, or 0.98%, to close at 38,085.8. The Standard & Poor’s 500 shed 23.21 points, or 0.46%, to close at 5,048.42. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 100.99 points, or 0.64%, to close at 15,611.76.
  • US goldfutures broke a three-day losing streak Thursday. The April contract nearing expiration added $5.30 to close at $2,329.80 per oz. The June contract added $4.10 to close at $2,342.50 per oz.
  • US crude oiladvanced Thursday on supply disruption worries amid airstrikes in Gaza. Also supporting was Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s comments that US economic growth was likely stronger than suggested by weaker-than-expected quarterly data. The June West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 76¢, or 0.9%, to close at $83.57 per barrel.

Recap for April 24

  • Wheat futures continued to rally Wednesday, some contracts striking three-month highs on continued concerns about lack of moisture in US and Russia wheat growing areas and the latter country’s Black Sea-region grain infrastructure attacks. Soybean futures traded choppily and traded higher most of the day and closed mixed amid short-covering and signs wet weather could hamper planting. Corn futures dropped against a backdrop of unwinding short positions, export competition from Brazil and easing crude oil prices. May corn fell 5¼¢ to close at $4.37¾ per bu. Chicago May wheat added 9½¢ to close at $5.94½ per bu. Kansas City May wheat jumped 15½¢ and closed at $6.24¼ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat added 12½¢ and closed at $6.79 per bu. May soybeans fell 1½¢ to close at $11.66 per bu; later months were mixed. May soybean meal was 80¢ higher to close at $346 per ton. May soybean oil dropped 0.65¢ to close at 44.66¢ a lb.
  • US equity indexes posted mixed closes Wednesday. Tesla shares jumped 12% despite Tuesday’s earnings report revealing a difficult quarter for the electric car maker after Elon Musk spoke of making less-expensive products. Texas Instruments’ 5.6% jump helped boost some semiconductor stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average subtracted 42.77 points, or 0.11%, to close at 38,460.92. The Standard & Poor’s 500 edged up 1.08 points, or 0.02%, to close at 5,071.63. The Nasdaq Composite added 16.11 points, or 0.1%, to close at 15,712.75.
  • The US dollar index strengthened Wednesday.
  • US goldfutures weakened for a third session Wednesday, but the loss paled in comparison to Monday’s $66 decline. The April contract was down $3.20 to close at $2,324.50 per oz.
  • US crude oilprices fell back Wednesday on easing Middle East conflict concerns and slowing US business activity with losses limited by declining US crude oil inventories. The June West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future shed 55¢ to close at $82.81 per barrel.

Recap for April 23

  • Wheat futures climbed Tuesday, Chicago soft red winter wheat surging to a two-month high as a decline in US winter wheat conditions renewed focus on weather risks to Northern Hemisphere crops. Corn and soybeans also edged up slightly on US spring planting risks. Corn planting progress was slightly better than expected but heavy rain was forecast in key areas. May corn added 3¼¢ to close at $4.43 per bu. Chicago May wheat jumped 14¾¢ to close at $5.85 per bu. Kansas City May wheat advanced 11¼¢ and closed at $6.08¾ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat added 10¾¢ and closed at $6.66½ per bu. May soybeans were up 6½¢ to close at $11.67½ per bu. May soybean meal was 90¢ higher to close at $345.20 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.27¢ to close at 45.31¢ a lb.
  • US goldfutures declined again Tuesday. The April contract was down $4.50 to close at $2,327.70 per oz.
  • US equity markets advanced Tuesday on the backs of big technology company shares, which climbed ahead of a plethora of major earnings reports amid stabilization in Treasurys and oil prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 263.71 points, or 0.69%, to close at 38,503.69. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 59.95 points, or 1.2%, to close at 5,070.55. The Nasdaq Composite added 245.33 points, or 1.59%, to close at 15,696.54.
  • The US dollar index closed lower Tuesday.
  • US crude oilprices advanced Tuesday. The June West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added $1.46 to close at $83.36 per barrel.

Recap for April 22

  • Dry weather concerns in the US Southern Plains and Russia, plus Black Sea supply concerns after the latter attacked Ukrainian grain infrastructure over the weekend, sent wheat futures higher to sharply higher Monday with winter wheat touching two-month highs. Spillover support from wheat, short-covering and technical trading sent corn futures to three-week highs. Soybean futures firmed alongside wheat and corn with support from short covering and technical trading after dropping to a seven-week low in the previous session. May corn added 6¼¢ to close at $4.39¾ per bu. Chicago May wheat soared 20¢ higher to close at $5.70¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat jumped 16¢ and closed at $5.97½ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat added 8¾¢ and closed at $6.55¾ per bu. May soybeans advanced 10½¢ to close at $11.61 per bu. May soybean meal was up 60¢ to close at $344.30 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.66¢ to close at 45.04¢ a lb.
  • Easing Middle East concerns had investors scaling back safe-haven bets Monday andUS gold futures declined. The April contract plummeted $66.20 to close at $2,332.10 per oz.
  • US equity indexes closed higher Monday, the market regaining some confidence and bouncing back from last week’s lackluster performance as Middle East tensions ameliorated. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 253.58 points, or 0.67%, to close at 38,239.98. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 43.37 points, or 0.87%, to close at 5,010.60. The Nasdaq Composite added 169.3 points, or 1.11%, to close at 15,451.31.
  • The US dollar index ultimately closed lower Monday but earlier touched a 34-year peak against the Japanese yen as investors took cues from the Federal Reserve’s apparent interest rate course of higher for longer.
  • US crude oilprices dropped Monday. Trader consensus was for little near-term risk from the Middle East conflict. Fundamentals were the focus, and a tightened supply-demand balance was envisaged for the coming months. The expiring May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future shed 29¢ to close at $82.85 per barrel. Th June contract was down 32¢ to close at $81.90 per barrel.

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Wheat closes week extending rally (2024)

FAQs

What is the wheat outlook for 2024? ›

U.S. wheat ending stocks in 2024/25 are projected at 766 million bushels, up 11 percent from 2023/24, which would be the highest level since 2020/21. Total supplies are up 6 percent from the previous year with larger beginning stocks and production more than offsetting lower imports.

Why is the wheat price dropping? ›

Wheat futures continued their downward slide Tuesday, mainly due to harvest pressure of the domestic crop and reviving rains in Russia after a period of extreme dryness.

What is the forecast for wheat prices? ›

The WASDE's 2024/25 marketing year wheat price is projected to be $6 compared to $7.10 for the 2023/24 marketing year. The 2009/10 through 2023/24 marketing year U.S. average price is $6.

What is the outlook for grain prices? ›

Usage projections are unchanged relative to last month, resulting in no changes in ending stocks. Consequently, corn prices remain projected at $4.40 per bushel for 2024/25. The production and use projections for 2024/25 U.S. feed grains also remain unchanged.

Will US farmers plant more wheat? ›

U.S. farmers plan less corn, more soybeans and wheat in 2024 - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets.

Will crop prices go up in 2024? ›

Reduced returns for corn and soybeans come as the department predicts higher prices for cattle and poultry.

Is there a real wheat shortage? ›

Climate change-related events play an increasingly crucial role in food insecurity. In summer 2021, the world faced a wheat shortage due to heatwaves and droughts that hit the US and Canada, the second and third-largest wheat exporters after Russia.

Is wheat a buy or sell? ›

The Wheat ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average.

What is the average bushel per acre of wheat? ›

Top U.S. states for wheat yield per harvested acre from 2023 (in bushels)
CharacteristicYield per acre in bushels
Idaho86.1
California86
Maryland85
Michigan83
6 more rows
Jan 24, 2024

What time of year are wheat prices highest? ›

Using USDA's reported average monthly 2009 through 2023 Oklahoma wheat prices (Texas Panhandle wheat prices follow the same price pattern), the average June through August price averaged 25 cents more than average September price. After September, price averages continue to decline.

Is wheat getting expensive? ›

Over the last year, world wheat prices have trended steadily lower, continuing their fall from the highs hit in May of 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine. Ample wheat stocks from Russia and record exports flowing from the Black Sea continue to weigh on global wheat prices.

How many pounds are in a bushel of wheat? ›

For wheat, one bushel equals 60 pounds of wheat or approximately one million wheat kernels. A common semi-truck grain hopper can hold approximately 1,000 bushels of wheat – or 60,000 pounds of wheat in a single load.

What is the USDA grain forecast? ›

The U.S. season-average farm price is forecast up 50 cents to $6.50 per bushel. With minimal adjustment to production and consumption, global trade is raised to a record with imports higher this month for China, Egypt, and Brazil. Exports are raised for the European Union, Canada, Ukraine, and Russia.

What is the current price of grains? ›

Grains Futures Prices
London Wheat 01:00:00 |LWBc1165.10 -1.40-0.84
Rough Rice 26/06 |RR15.538 +0.073+0.47
US Corn 26/06 |ZC424.60 -7.40-1.71
US Soybean Meal 26/06 |ZM338.25 -4.45-1.30
US Soybean Oil 26/06 |ZL43.44 +0.68+1.59
3 more rows

Why are wheat prices so low? ›

Global wheat prices have been under pressure for months due to abundant supplies in top exporter Russia. Russian wheat shipments last month reached record volumes for February, and export prices have tumbled about 16% since Feb. 1.

What are the future prospects of wheat? ›

The future projections of the demand for wheat show significant enhancement owing to the population growth and probable changes in diets. Further, historical yield trends show a reduction in the relative rate of gain for grain yield over time.

What is the expected winter wheat harvest? ›

In NASS's first winter wheat production forecast for 2024, production is expected to increase 2% from 2023. As of May 1, the U.S. yield is expected to average 50.7 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushel from last year's average of 50.6 bushels per acre.

Will there be a wheat shortage? ›

"The (wheat) supply situation in the current 2023/24 crop year is likely to deteriorate compared to last season," Commerzbank wrote in a note. "This is because exports from important producer countries are likely to be significantly lower."

What is the forecast for the world wheat production? ›

World Wheat Supply and Demand Situation and Outlook

The 2023/24 global wheat production is forecast at 784.9 MMT, up 1.9 MMT from December's estimates. Meanwhile, world wheat demand remains at a record high of 796.4 MMT, outpacing world wheat produc- tion by 11.5 MMT.

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