Food Prices: Information on Trends, Factors, and Federal Roles (2024)

GAO-23-105846 Published: Mar 28, 2023. Publicly Released: Mar 28, 2023.

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Fast Facts

From 2021-22, U.S. retail food prices rose by 11%—the largest annual increase in over 40 years. Rising food prices particularly impact low-income consumers, who spend about 30% of their income on food.

Many factors influencing the food supply chain can affect retail food prices, such as global trade issues, pandemics, animal and plant disease outbreaks, and war.

Federal agencies don't control food prices, but may indirectly affect them. For example, by relaxing regulations to let food made for restaurants be diverted to grocery stores, the FDA helped to avert food shortages that could've further increased prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Some Factors that Can Affect the Supply Chain and Contribute to Changes in Food Prices

Food Prices: Information on Trends, Factors, and Federal Roles (1)

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Highlights

What GAO Found

From 2021 to 2022, retail food prices in the U.S.—the food prices consumers see at grocery and other food stores—rose 11 percent, the largest annual increase in over 40 years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). In contrast, retail food prices had generally increased by an average of 2 percent per year from 2013 to 2022.

Many factors that affect the food supply chain can affect retail food prices. Such factors include global trade issues, weather events and climate change, animal and plant disease, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. It is difficult to determine the individual effect of any one factor on retail food prices, according to USDA officials and experts GAO interviewed.

Federal agencies' actions, such as their efforts to support the food supply chain, may indirectly affect retail food prices. For example, FDA responded to disruptions in the food supply chain by offering regulatory relief and other flexibilities that allowed producers to divert food made for consumption in restaurants to grocery stores. This action helped to avert shortages that could have further increased retail food prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to FDA officials. In addition, to help lower food costs amid supply chain disruptions, USDA provided funding to help meat and poultry processors expand their operations and for producers to expand fertilizer manufacturing. However, agencies do not have a direct role in controlling price increases, according to agency officials.

Why GAO Did This Study

Increases in food prices can pose a hardship for many in the U.S., particularly low-income consumers whose food expenditures comprise an average of 30 percent of their total income, according to USDA. Multiple factors along the food supply chain can affect the food prices consumers see at grocery and other food stores. Several federal agencies have programmatic and regulatory responsibilities aimed at supporting the food supply chain.

GAO was asked to examine factors affecting food prices. This report provides information on (1) retail food price trends from 2013 to 2022; (2) factors that may affect retail food prices; and (3) various roles the federal government may play in supporting the food supply chain. GAO summarized data on retail food prices for 2013 through 2022, analyzed academic literature and agency documents, and interviewed agency officials and experts. This report focuses on actions taken by the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce, Justice, Labor, and Transportation; the Environmental Protection Agency; the Federal Trade Commission; and the Food and Drug Administration.

For more information, contact Steve D. Morris at (202) 512-3841 or morriss@gao.gov.

Full Report

Full Report (16 pages)
Accessible PDF (25 pages)

GAO Contacts

Steve Morris

Director

morriss@gao.gov

(202) 512-3841

Sarah Kaczmarek

Acting Managing Director

kaczmareks@gao.gov

(202) 512-4800

Topics

Agriculture and Food

Agricultural commoditiesConsumer price indexConsumersFarmingFederal agenciesFoodFood pricesFood productsFood supplySupply chain management

Food Prices: Information on Trends, Factors, and Federal Roles (2024)

FAQs

What are the factors that affect food prices? ›

Many factors that affect the food supply chain can affect retail food prices. Such factors include global trade issues, weather events and climate change, animal and plant disease, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

What is the food price trend in the US? ›

US Consumer Price Index: Food (I:USCPIF)

US Consumer Price Index: Food is at a current level of 328.72, up from 328.27 last month and up from 321.82 one year ago. This is a change of 0.14% from last month and 2.14% from one year ago.

Should the US government make laws about food prices? ›

However, many economists believe controls are not an effective measure for reigning in an overheated economy. In a 2022, the University of Chicago Booth School of Business survey of economists, 23% said price controls can reduce inflation, while 49% said they could not.

What 4 factors account for recent high food prices? ›

While there's no single reason the cost of food remains high, here are four factors impacting prices -- and your personal finances.
  • Pandemic-era demand. It all began with pandemic-related demand. ...
  • War. The global food supply was hard hit when Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. ...
  • Climate issues. ...
  • Manufacturer greed.
Feb 4, 2024

What effects the price of food? ›

Food prices have always been volatile — especially so during the pandemic. Thanks to a combination of overall inflation, supply-chain disruptions and tariffs on certain foreign imports, food prices have risen 26% since the start of 2020.

What controls food prices? ›

Retail food prices partially reflect farm-level commodity prices, but other costs of bringing food to the market (such as processing and retailing) have a greater role in determining prices on supermarket shelves and restaurant menus.

Why are US food prices increasing? ›

The reason for the hikes may be due to supply issues and climate change, rather than corporate greed. Drought has reduced pasture for raising cows, leading to smaller cattle herds, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Does the federal government regulate food? ›

FDA has jurisdiction over domestic and imported foods that are marketed in interstate commerce, except for meat and poultry products. FDA's Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition (CFSAN) seeks to ensure that these foods are safe, sanitary, nutritious, wholesome, and honestly and adequately labeled.

Who decides the price of food? ›

This competition of sellers against sellers and buyers against buyers determines the price of the product. It's called supply and demand. The price is the measure of how scarce one product is compared to all other products and all incomes.

Why is everything so expensive in 2024? ›

It happened because Bidenomics spent and printed record amounts of money over the last four years. Like any other good or service, the value of money depends on supply and demand. If there is more money in the economy than the market can absorb, its value will come crashing down, and prices will increase.

Will groceries go down in 2024? ›

Overall, consumer prices will still continue to rise in 2024. In fact, that has posed a hurdle for the Federal Reserve and President Joe Biden in his reelection campaign. Inflation hit 3.2% compared to last year, with core prices, excluding food and energy, also climbing 0.4%, higher than the Fed's 2% target.

Why is there a food shortage in 2024? ›

This surge in demand, coupled with unpredictable weather patterns and climate change, sets the stage for an expected shortage in 2024.

What are the four forces that affect the price of food? ›

These factors include supply and demand , weather , disease and outbreaks , war , and natural disasters .

What are the 4 factors that affect price? ›

Four Major Market Factors That Affect Price
  • Costs and Expenses.
  • Supply and Demand.
  • Consumer Perceptions.
  • Competition.

What increases the price of food? ›

The price of ANY commodity is dictated by The Law of Supply and Demand. In simplest terms: Increased supply and/or decreased demand makes prices go down. Decreased supply and/or increased demand makes prices go up.

What factors affect the food we buy? ›

Taste (extent to which consumption of the food is appealing to the senses) Price (the price that is paid for the food) Safety (extent to which consumption of food will not cause illness) Convenience (ease with which food is cooked and/or consumed)

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